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Predicting War, Predicting Peace


Marketed By :  LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing   Sold By :  Kamal Books International  
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  • Product Description

The two key questions in national security decision-making and international relations theory remain: When do states make war and engage in conflict? When do states make peace and engage in cooperation? Despite the importance of these questions, the “why” of decision-making continues to be debated by foreign policy practitioners and scholars. The ability to predict, even probabilistically, the outbreak of war and the probability of peace will provide an important tool for policy makers, and a starting point for future research. This book, drawing from the author’s experience as a senior military leader, planner, and diplomat; along with recent work in cognitive psychology, provides a new approach to simulating the process of decision and predicting the likely results. Using a computer simulation of how leaders process and interpret information, it shows how the interaction between the situation and other leaders’ decisions can cause both perceptions and preferences to rapidly shift – leading quickly from calm to crisis and back. Foreign policy practitioners, national security professionals, and scholars will find this new approach to be useful in today’s challenging environment.

Product Specifications
SKU :COC96079
AuthorWilliam Hanson
Number of Pages208
Publishing Year2011-08-06T00:00:00.000
Edition1 st
Book TypePolitical science & theory
Country of ManufactureIndia
Product BrandLAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing
Product Packaging InfoBox
In The Box1 Piece
Product First Available On ClickOnCare.com2015-08-14 00:00:00
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